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State Of The Race

By Paul - Posted on 07 May 2008 09:55pm

It's been a day of contradictions since about 23 hours ago when it became clear that Clinton would win or lose Indiana by 2% and that, coupled with a blowout in North Carolina, meant that we're in the end-game.

One email from the Clinton campaign gives conciliatory noises and then the next explicitly asks for money and says she is going on:

Today, in every way that I know how, I am expressing my personal determination to keep forging forward in this campaign.

After our come-from-behind victory in Indiana, there are just 28 days of voting left. But we've never campaigned with the stakes as high or the time as short as they will be over the next four weeks.

And with you by my side, I'm going to keep fighting for what I believe in until every voter has had his or her say.

From the very beginning, you and I have counted on one another, working through every challenge and seizing every opportunity. That's not just the way our campaign works. That's the way America works.

As we enter the final four weeks of this contest, let's keep working our hearts out.

Contribute now to keep moving our campaign forward.
https://contribute.hillaryclinton.com/form.html?sc=1843&utm_source=1843&...

In six days, we have the chance to show our strength in West Virginia. If you'll stand with me, it's an opportunity I intend to make the most of.

There's no question about it -- we've got to make every one of these next 28 days count -- starting with today.

Contribute now, and let's keep winning together.

And so on.

And what's with the reference to a "come from behind" victory in Indiana? What nonsense.

And then there is the story that Clinton is still self-funding her campaign and may do more.

As to the "math", here is what's happened in the last 24 hours:

Right now, the delegates coming out of last night's contests are as follows:

  • Indiana: Clinton 37, Obama 33, 2 left to be allocated
  • North Carolina: Obama 63, Clinton 47, 5 left to be allocated

That's a net +12 for Obama which if memory serves is what Clinton netted out of Pennsylvania.

There wasn't a flood of superdelegates coming out today, but a medium trickle.

In Clinton's corner:

  • Heath Shuler who had agreed to vote with his district which went for Clinton last night by 13 points
  • Indiana Representative Brad Ellsworth is also voting with his district for Clinton

In Obama's corner:

  • First, someone who is switching from Clinton to Obama, Virginia's Jennifer McClellan.
  • Jeanette Council from North Carolina
  • Jerry Meek from North Carolina
  • Inola Henry from California

That's a net +4 for Obama and +1 for Clinton.

Which leaves us with this status report:

PLEDGED: Obama 1,588-1,422
SUPERDELEGATES: Clinton 273.5-259
OVERALL: 1,847-1.695.5

* Obama is 178 from the Magic Number of 2,025.
* There are 262.5 undeclared superdelegates, including about 50 who are not yet named and will be added on at state conventions or the like.

Upcoming Primaries

Date State / Delegates
Tue, May 20 Kentucky
60 Delegates
Tue, May 20 Oregon
65 Delegates
Sun, Jun 1 Puerto Rico
63 Delegates
Tue, Jun 3 South Dakota
23 Delegates
Tue, Jun 3 Montana
24 Delegates

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